The less information people have, the more likely they are to believe that they are absolutely right! – Science News Media! Nazology Koki Oishi Published on Monday, October 21, 2024 Have you ever been too confident in your opinion even though you don’t know the details? For example, about a lovers’ quarrel between a couple of friends. This is the case when you have only heard one side of the story but are absolutely convinced that “It’s definitely the other person’s fault!” or “You’re not wrong, so let’s make the other person apologize.” A new study from Johns Hopkins University (JHU) in the United States reveals that this is a common cognitive bias that can occur to anyone. Research has shown that when we only know one side of something, we tend to assume that it’s enough to make an appropriate decision and that our opinion is correct. Researchers call this cognitive bias the “illusion of information adequacy.” Details of the research were published in the academic journal PLOS ONE on October 9, 2024. Nazology Editorial Department References why people insist they’re correct without all the facts why we’re confident with only half the story Original paper the illusion of information adequacy Table of Contents People who don’t know much are more “confident” The more you know, the more you realize you don’t know In our daily lives, we often face differences of opinion with others. This is something that happens not only in big topics like politics and social issues, but also in everyday conversations with family, lovers, and friends. In such a situation, if the other person stubbornly tries to push through their own opinion, you will surely wonder, “Why is this person speaking so confidently when they don’t even know the situation well?” The same is true in reverse. The other person may also be thinking, “Why does this person believe that he or she is always right?” These differences of opinion often lead to increased psychological stress, anger, anxiety, and even rifts between people. So why do we become so confident in our own opinions? The research team hypothesized that this may be because each party relies on different information. More specifically, he thought that we might have a cognitive bias that causes us to make judgments based on fragmented information without an objective grasp of the facts as a whole. To test this theory, the team conducted an experiment on 1,261 people living in the United States (with an average age of 39 and a median education level of 3rd year of college). In the experiment, all participants first read a fictional article titled “Our School Water is Disappearing.” (Omitted) *See source for full text.
It’s true that the elderly people in the neighborhood association say, “I don’t want to hear about difficult things,” and don’t listen when I try to explain the truth to them.
Instead of being overconfident, try to act like you’re overconfident. Also, rather than cognitive bias, it’s easier to be indecisive if you know that both sides are correct, but if you only know one side, you won’t be confused.
If you don’t make the final decision yourself, you’ll only regret it later. Even if it turns out to be wrong, you’ll be happy with it because it was your own decision.
>>29 You don’t have to take opinions at face value. You can listen to both sides, make your own judgment, and come to an answer. The unification slush fund and the failure of economic policies over the past 30 years. If the LDP has benefits that are worth this, then I’ll vote for them. I’m sure most people don’t have those, though lol.
It’s exhausting and time-consuming to gather a lot of information and make a decision about everything. There are many situations where it is more rational to make a quick decision with less information.
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