Latest survey of Hyogo Prefectural Governor election Saito has a slight lead, followed closely by Inamura.

politician
1Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Mikaka) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:39:44.59ID:DyG6Um1Y0●
Saito Motohiko has obtained shocking data regarding early voting in the Hyogo Prefectural Gubernatorial Election, which is in hot pursuit!
The Hyogo Prefectural Gubernatorial Election will be held on November 17th. The current election campaign, which followed the loss of office of former governor Motohiko Saito (47), is turning into one of the most fiercely contested in the country. [Photo] See Saito’s street speech, where support is spreading mainly on social media

Inamura was the overwhelming favorite, but…
“Saito lost his job after an internal whistleblower exposed allegations of power harassment and subsidy kickbacks related to the Hanshin-Orix victory parade, and the prefectural assembly unanimously passed a vote of no confidence. The winds of opposition to Saito were clear, and before the election, former Amagasaki mayor Kazumi Inamura (52) was widely expected to win. However, the situation changed completely when the gubernatorial election was announced on October 31st and the full-scale election campaign began. The Asahi Shimbun, Yomiuri Shimbun, Kobe Shimbun, and others all reported that ‘Inamura is slightly ahead, with Saito following closely behind'” (a prefectural government source).
Inamura is far from having an overwhelming advantage, and only has a slight lead. Support for Saito is spreading mainly through social media, and “Saito has momentum in urban areas such as Kobe, Nishinomiya, Akashi, and Himeji” (ibid.). As Shukan Bunshun continued its investigation, it uncovered some shocking data regarding early voting. The currently available “Weekly Bunshun Online Edition” provides a detailed report on the contents of the data, the “pitfalls” of the poll, such as Inamura’s lead, and the background to the growing support for Saito.

斎藤元彦氏が猛追の兵庫県知事選「期日前投票」をめぐる“衝撃のデータ”を入手!(文春オンライン) - Yahoo!ニュース
11月17日に投開票を迎える、兵庫県知事選。前知事である斎藤元彦氏(47)の失職に伴う今回の選挙戦は、稀に見る大激戦となっている。
66Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Osaka Prefecture) [ua].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:53:02.66ID:M/I36WWL0
>>1
It was a hoax.
3Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Miyagi Prefecture) [be].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:40:40.24ID:Ey5thcfT0
If he could win the organized vote, it would be an unprecedented event, so probably not.
4Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Saitama Prefecture) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:40:45.58ID:UW15MXsP0
The people of Hyogo Prefecture are so crazy lol.
5Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (mushroom) [tr].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:41:07.16ID:gvdmLq170
That’s a lie lol.
13Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Light) [Nida].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:43:03.37ID:e7DC+z8f0
>>5
Inamura relied on organizational votes and neglected campaigning to get individual votes
It’s not an impossible story.
6Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Light) [Nida].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:41:08.53ID:e7DC+z8f0
organization versus individual.
7Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Shimane Prefecture) [cn].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:42:10.43ID:cYPdHWFK0
Of course.
8Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Mushroom) [Look]Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:42:16.21ID:bwOHUbsO0
Inamura himself performed.
9Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Mikaka) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:42:31.20ID:rFBzBuqC0
Are there still idiots out there who trust Japan’s preliminary investigations?
10Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Tokyo) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:42:46.65ID:9kX4NPo50
Saito’s defenders are quick to say something is right or left.
They have borderline intelligence and no ability or imagination to judge things based on facts.
They judge everything based on their own political beliefs, like right or left, so they probably assume that other people do the same.
45Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Mushroom) [Look]Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:49:43.47ID:ST7J+mJX0
>>10
I don’t know
The old guys who are like idiots just started supporting Inamura’s old hag.
95Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (garden) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:57:23.74ID:3PoHbnLf0
>>10
That’s what Trump supporters feel too.
12Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (garden) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:43:01.02ID:dgBH7B/30
Did you know that when news like this is reported, more people will think they don’t need to vote?
Of course you know that…
19Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Tokyo) [Nida]Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:45:36.74ID:Ry8VMc910
>>12
The opposite is also true.
14Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Garden) [Nida].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:43:17.33ID:7c/sQ4yq0
I’m looking forward to seeing what happens in the assembly if Saito is re-elected. I’ll be watching with a smile from another prefecture.
15Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (mushroom) [eu].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:43:30.35ID:Ww+DXloV0
That’s awesome.
16Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Osaka Prefecture) [ua].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:44:37.61ID:M/I36WWL0
This is the correct answer: Saito + N Party + Unified Party vs Inamura + LDP + Komeito + Constitutional Democratic Party + Democratic Party for the People + Prefectural citizens + Prefectural officials.
18Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Saitama Prefecture) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:45:35.40ID:UW15MXsP0
>>16
Saito + Ishin are out.
41Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Okayama Prefecture) [Nida]Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:49:29.91ID:TiAwUhIR0
>>16
The Shibikitai are gone.
17Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Osaka Prefecture) [ua].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:45:22.17ID:M/I36WWL0
Inamura led until the end.
20Security Guard [Lv.15](Hyogo Prefecture) [US].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:45:40.28ID:LGnqHk440
This is a trap. If they report that the vote is won before the vote, some people will not vote tomorrow.
24Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Tokyo) [Nida]Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:46:20.80ID:Ry8VMc910
>>20
Bandwagon effect.
21Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (mushroom) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:45:57.16ID:+ohFxsJt0
I was planning to ostracize them, but the tide has turned. It’s very modern that inconvenient testimony is spread by those who have been bashing them due to poor use of the media.
22Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Tokyo) [cn].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:46:11.87ID:USCwlFjc0
The Hyogo Prefectural Governor election saw a record number of early voters, 1.6 times more than the previous election, with 773,754 people voting, according to the Prefectural Election Commission.
Is this a sure thing? If voter turnout increases, organized voting will become less effective.
28Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Kumamoto Prefecture) [se].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:46:31.49ID:MnUVCHQv0
A defeat for the vested interests and the mass media?
30Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Mushroom) [Look]Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:47:30.41ID:ST7J+mJX0
Have they cast all their organized votes?
Now it’s up to the people of the prefecture lol.
31Security guard [lv.21](Saitama prefecture) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:47:49.78ID:aXxho0SO0
There are a lot of people who believe in conspiracy theories.
46Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Tokyo) [ca].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:49:44.41ID:ha5XERg+0
>>31
Right. But Inamura is also out of the question. There’s nothing Hyogo Prefecture can do.
83Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Kanagawa Prefecture) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:55:21.11ID:W0ztPkQy0
>>31
If you treat them like conspiracy theorists, people will go crazy.
If you say that.
33Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Hyogo Prefecture) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:48:20.30ID:B51jLwS90
Saito-san’s.
36Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Hyogo Prefecture) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:48:38.50ID:B51jLwS90
It’s a sure win!!!
38Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (sb-android) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:49:00.35ID:DYGJWKdH0
If Saito is re-elected this time, the example of Yasuo Tanaka, who was the governor of Nagano Prefecture, may be a good reference. If you’re interested, check out Wikipedia.
39Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Tokyo) [cn].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:49:11.80ID:USCwlFjc0
On the final day, there was a huge crowd and the speeches by Saito and Tachibana were very exciting. This seems like a sure sign that the alliance of vested interests and the media will lose. If public opinion prevails, it will have an impact on the House of Councillors election and the political situation. Right now in national politics, people are bullying Tamaki for wanting to cut taxes. The LDP, Komeito, Constitutional Democratic Party and Communist Party lawmakers are saying that the financial resources are there. If Saito wins the public vote, it will also have an impact on the tax cut debate at the national level.
40Security Guard [lv.9] [Sprout] (Soft Bank) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:49:21.28ID:z2uBck8u0
But Motohiko is rubbish when it comes to policies and the skills needed to be governor, and I don’t know much about Inamura, so I guess they’re both the same. It’s the same no matter who it is. The truth is, there’s so much misinformation that I don’t know which one to put it in. Even if he is re-elected, Motohiko may still be selfish, so I feel sorry for the staff.
42Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Tokyo) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:49:34.90ID:jZNTHp790
The current Democratic Party for the People (lol) is supporting Inamura, so Saito is in a tough spot.
43Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Osaka Prefecture) [rw].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:49:35.01ID:fQSLBP9Z0
LOL there’s no mention of a slight lead anywhere lol.
44Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (SoftBank) [jp].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:49:37.01ID:1+nDlOIk0
The Wednesday survey showed the numbers to be level, but yesterday the numbers finally reversed.
48Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Tokyo) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:50:10.84ID:Xfog3bkF0
Justice will prevail.
49Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (garden) [cn].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:50:43.77ID:AbPZW1nf0
If this is the case based on a telephone survey, Saito would win by a landslide.
50Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (mushroom) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:50:49.96ID:+ohFxsJt0
The development of social media has exposed the logic of the Japanese media.
56Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Hyogo Prefecture) [Nida]Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:51:18.92ID:xhkPmFai0
Didn’t Inamura stream his final speech? I looked for it but couldn’t find it.
65Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (garden) [cn].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:52:48.91ID:AbPZW1nf0
>>56
It was held right before Saito’s speech, in the same place.
The people in front of me were mostly the audience who came to hear Saito’s speech.
81Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Osaka Prefecture) [rw].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:54:51.42ID:fQSLBP9Z0
>>56
Inamura is still giving his speech lol
He seems really stressed out, giving his speech right up until the last minute.
57Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (SoftBank) [jp].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:51:22.83ID:CUrxIzMC0
Inamura’s camp keeps scoring own goals. Close to internal collapse.
74Security Guard [Lv.15](Hyogo Prefecture) [US].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:53:57.80ID:LGnqHk440
This election, there were a lot of phone surveys, and I answered them all randomly.
89Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Hyogo Prefecture) [be].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:56:19.06ID:gFVOkYD60
>>74
I’ve heard quite a few people have come here, but I don’t know what the results of the investigation were.
76Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Tokushima Prefecture) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:54:12.03ID:Muo7J2Gp0
Saito-san is amazing!!!
77Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (Osaka Prefecture) [kr].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:54:14.98ID:wZQZuyZ70
The last thing they came up with was a fact check…
Inamura’s camp is bringing out too many Saito supporters.
85Anonymous @ Teary-eyed. (SoftBank) [us].Nov. 16, 2024 (Sat) 19:55:49.59ID:cGMzJH6N0
Inamura was brought in thinking that it would be an easy win if he just said something bad about the former governor, but he ended up in a tough fight.
Reference: https://hayabusa9.5ch.net/test/read.cgi/news/1731753584, World Data and graph

Other languages: 【大逆転】兵庫県県知事選挙最新調査斎藤氏わずかにリード稲村氏僅差で追う, La última encuesta sobre las elecciones para gobernador de la prefectura de Hyogo muestra al Sr. Saito con una ligera ventaja, mientras que el Sr. Inamura está detrás por un estrecho margen.

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